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InstaForex – Winner of the "Forex Broker of the Year" Award!

 

 

Once again, our company has proven that it rightfully belongs among the leaders of the global Forex industry. At the Money Expo Abu Dhabi 2025, we were honored with the title of "Forex Broker of the Year."

 

Money Expo Abu Dhabi is one of the largest international events in the field of trading and financial technologies. The event took place on April 23–24 at the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre and brought together over 3,000 participants, including investors, traders, representatives of fintech companies, and media.

 

We are proud to have participated in the expo as a Diamond Sponsor. For us, this is not just an honorary title but a confirmation of the high level of trust and recognition our company enjoys on the international stage. Receiving the "Forex Broker of the Year" award is a recognition that affirms the correctness of our chosen path, our commitment to quality, and our drive for growth.

 

We sincerely thank our clients, partners, and all participants of the event for their trust and support — this victory rightfully belongs to everyone who moves forward with us!

 

Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/company_news

Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for May 19, 2025

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On Friday, the euro failed to sustain its upward movement, but it also didn't fall below the daily-scale MACD indicator line—the day closed with a black candlestick, but still above the upper boundary of the 1.1110/50 range.

Monday began with a slight upward move and a small gap—again, around the MACD line. After the gap quickly closes, the price will most likely head upward toward the target level at 1.1266. After three days of consolidation, the Marlin oscillator's signal line has turned upward.

On the H4 chart, the price on Friday was also supported by the MACD line, but the Marlin oscillator broke downward out of its wedge pattern, transforming the structure into a flag, which is also considered a continuation pattern. Thus, under the main scenario, we expect a bullish reversal and an attempt to consolidate above the 1.1266 level to pave the way for further growth toward 1.1420.

Read more: www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/410961

Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for May 23, 2025

The Eurozone PMI data for May, published yesterday, was disappointing. The Manufacturing PMI dropped from 49.0 to 48.4 (vs. expectations of 49.2), and the Services PMI declined from 50.1 to 48.9 (vs. forecast of 50.4). In addition, several European Central Bank members (Knot, Wunsch, Centeno) spoke in favor of a "timely" rate cut at the next meeting. These developments pushed the euro down by 47 pips. On the other hand, the U.S. PMI data was strong: Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.3 (vs. 49.2 forecast and 50.2 in April) Services PMI rose from 50.8 to 52.3 (vs. forecast of 51.0) Initial jobless claims fell from 229K to 227K Despite this, stock indices closed mixed (S&P 500 -0.04%), which forced the markets to pause and reassess. Thus, European developments alone are unlikely to change the current upward trend in the euro. Instead, this signals the need to watch equity markets more closely.

The euro only slightly pierced through the 1.1256 support level on the daily chart. The Marlin oscillator bounced off the boundary of the bullish territory, suggesting a technical correction for the euro. Today began with upward momentum, and Marlin is again attempting to break through the zero line from below. A white daily candle today could lay the groundwork for stronger bullish momentum next week. At this point, the market seems to have already factored in the rate cut expected in June. Today, Germany's Q1 GDP will be released (forecast: +0.2% after a -0.2% drop in Q4). The U.S. will publish new home sales data for April, expected at 694K versus 724K in March. These figures could further support the euro's growth if they meet expectations.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Changes in trading hours on May 26, 2025

Dear traders!

We would like to inform you about changes in trading hours with InstaForex on May 26, 2025.

Metals - Early Close at 21:30.

Futures Energy - Early Close at 21:30.

CFD Stocks - Closed full day.

Futures Agro - Closed full day.

Futures Metals - Closed full day.

Futures Goods - Closed full day.

Indices:

#FTSE - Closed full day.

#SPX - Closed full day.

#NDX - Closed full day.

#INDU - Closed full day.

#HSI - Early Close at 11:30.

#N225 - Early Close at 20:00.

#DAX - Early Close at 23:00.

Read more: ifxpr.com/3Zxx5I5">ifxpr.com/3Zxx5I5

Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for May 29, 2025

Main News of the Day: The U.S. Federal Trade Court has blocked the permanent implementation of import tariffs introduced by President Trump, ruling that he exceeded his authority. As an initial reaction to this news, the U.S. Dollar Index rose by 0.53%, S&P 500 futures added 1.50%, and the euro is moving toward testing the target support level at 1.1066. A breakdown below this level would open the path toward 1.0955.

We do not oppose such an unexpected turn of events, at least not in terms of a broad and long-term dollar strengthening, since we have viewed the rise of anti-dollar currencies as a temporary phenomenon from the beginning of the sanctions war. But will today become a pivotal moment? It's quite possible—if, on the weekly chart, the price consolidates below the MACD line, which coincides with May's low at 1.1066. Should this happen, the first downside target would be the March 26 low at 1.0733.

The daily chart shows that the price has broken below the MACD line and the support level at 1.1266. The Marlin oscillator has plunged deeper into negative territory. However, if today's candlestick closes at least at the opening level, this downward move may prove to be false, and the dollar's global advance would be postponed. In that case, the euro might attempt to overcome the 1.1535 level, with a target of 1.1692. Considering market momentum, the absence of clear reversal patterns, stock market optimism, rising yields on U.S. government bonds, and the lack of a yield curve inversion, we maintain the euro's growth as the main scenario.

On the H4 chart, the price has settled below the MACD line and the 1.1266 level. However, this move may turn out to be false. A rise above the MACD line—specifically above the 1.1290 mark, which also coincides with the MACD line on the daily chart—would be a strong signal for growth toward the target level of 1.1420.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on June 3, 2025



On Monday, the yen strongly broke through the MACD line support and the target level at 143.45, moving 134 pips. The Marlin oscillator has settled into the bearish territory.

If the price fails to climb back above 143.45, it will next work toward testing the 141.70 support. A drop below this level would open the path toward the 139.59 target (the low from September 2024).

On the four-hour scale, the price has consolidated below the 143.45 level. Before the price could retest it as resistance, the MACD line had already dipped below the level, reinforcing it. The probability of the price rising above 143.45, which the Marlin oscillator had indicated, has significantly decreased. We expect the downward trend to continue.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for June 5, 2025

After three days of struggle, the euro has broken through the 1.1420 resistance level. Now, the target at 1.1535 is open. A breakthrough above this level would allow the growth to continue toward 1.1692. The Marlin oscillator, positioned in positive territory, persistently pushes the price upward.

Such a signal on the day the European Central Bank is expected to cut rates is concerning. We believe that the euro's complex rise since mid-May has already taken this rate cut into account, particularly when we compare the euro's performance to that of other currencies, which have been stronger. Market participants may find hawkish hints in the comments from monetary officials (as is often the case) and will continue to drive the euro higher.

On the four-hour chart, the price has settled above the MACD line and above the 1.1420 level, while the Marlin oscillator is rising in positive territory. We expect the upward movement to continue.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for June 11, 2025

Yesterday, the US dollar attempted to push the euro below key technical support levels marked by the daily Balance and MACD indicator lines, but the euro withstood the pressure and closed the day above the 1.1420 resistance level.

Today opened above this level, and the indicator lines, marking a critical moment: it's the last day the single currency can potentially develop an upward move, as the price is now at the apex of a triangle formed by the target level and the MACD line. If today's candlestick turns out to be bearish (a "black" day), the 1.1266 target will come into play. However, the main scenario remains bullish, targeting 1.1536, and a solid consolidation above this level would allow a continuation of growth toward 1.1632.

On the four-hour chart, the price is in a weak technical position due to trading below the MACD line, but it is holding above 1.1420, providing some groundwork for an attack on the MACD line at 1.1470. The Marlin oscillator is consolidating along the zero line, offering no real support to the price at the moment. However, the short-term trend remains upward, and a breakout to the upside—both for the price and the oscillator—is more likely than a decline.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

Read more: www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/413285

Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Overview – June 13: America's Economy Gets Lucky

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its strong upward movement throughout Thursday. Is anyone still puzzled as to why the U.S. dollar keeps falling? From our point of view, the reasons are obvious and don't even require deep analysis.

Essentially, there's only one reason — Donald Trump. Before Trump became president of the U.S. for a second time, the dollar was preparing to storm parity with the euro. And this was a realistic goal, considering the growth rates of the U.S. and European economies. However, the new-old leader of the U.S. took immediate action, and the markets tumbled.

While the U.S. stock market recovered quickly (thanks to internal demand for still-attractive American equities), the dollar was not so lucky. In fact, Trump is probably satisfied with the results of his first four months in office. The dollar is plummeting, and even during his first term he wanted to weaken the currency by pushing the Federal Reserve to lower rates, arguing that U.S. goods were too expensive for foreign buyers.

Now the dollar has significantly depreciated, and stock markets have hardly lost anything. Is it time to declare victory? But it's far too early for that. Not a single trade deal has been signed so far, and the U.S. may declare a default on its external obligations this summer. The economy slowed by 0.3% in the first quarter after several years of steady 2–3% quarterly growth. Inflation is rising — albeit slowly (which is lucky for the U.S. economy, considering the volume of tariffs).

High inflation combined with low economic growth equals stagflation. So we can say this: Trump has achieved some of his goals, but who in the U.S. benefits? Who will thank Trump for higher inflation, slower economic growth, domestic instability, protests, and unrest in many American cities? As for the dollar and its movement on the forex market, things are now quite straightforward.

Nothing is protecting the U.S. currency from further declines. Even positive fundamental and macroeconomic data, which do occasionally appear, are only enough to trigger minor corrections. So, the renewed dollar collapse does not surprise us at all.

Read more: www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/413582

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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InstaForex at Forex Summit Dubai 2025: A Truly Inspiring Experience

From May 14 to 15, Dubai became the global hub of trading, hosting one of the industry’s most anticipated events — Forex Summit Dubai 2025. The exhibition brought together over 6,500 attendees under one roof, including traders, investors, brokerage firms, and fintech innovators.

We’re proud to have participated in this landmark event as a Diamond Sponsor. Our booth (#31) quickly became a key attraction for both novice and professional traders alike.

Over the course of two days, the InstaForex team actively engaged with visitors, offering expert insights into our core offerings — low-spread trading accounts, the “NDB $5,000 Bonus” program for new clients (allowing them to start trading with no initial deposit), and attractive partnership opportunities.

Visitors to our booth also had the chance to open a live trading account on the spot and automatically enter our $100,000 prize draw — a major crowd-puller.

Another highlight of our exhibition space was the tech showcase: a multilingual humanoid robot that held live conversations, and a robotic dog that instantly won over attendees with its friendly behavior and interactive features.

Our commitment to innovation was further recognized when we received the prestigious Most Innovative Mobile Trading Application award — a testament to our drive to deliver cutting-edge solutions that make trading convenient and effective from any device, anywhere in the world.

Forex Summit Dubai 2025 was more than just a networking event — it was a powerful affirmation that InstaForex is moving forward with confidence, shaping the future of online trading and setting new standards in the industry.

Thank you to everyone who visited our booth, connected with our team, and shared this incredible experience with us. We look forward to seeing you at upcoming international events — stay tuned for more updates!


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InstaForex wins prestigious award at Forex Traders Summit Dubai 2025

We are proud to announce that InstaForex has won the award for “Most Innovative Mobile Trading Application” at one of the industry’s largest expos, Forex Traders Summit Dubai 2025.

Forex Traders Summit Dubai is an international platform for exchanging experience, ideas, and technology in the field of online trading. The event took place in Dubai on May 14–15 and gathered over 6,500 participants, including traders, investors, fintech representatives, and professionals from around the globe.

We are honored to have participated as a Diamond sponsor of this major event, once again affirming our leadership in the industry. As a result of the summit, InstaForex was named the winner in the prestigious “Most Innovative Mobile Trading Application” category.

This award reflects our dedication to developing cutting-edge, user-friendly, and reliable mobile trading solutions. For us, it is not just recognition of the work already done. It is confirmation that we are on the right path, addressing the real needs of both traders and the market.

This recognition reaffirms that InstaForex is a true industry leader that not just follows trends but sets them. Moving forward, we aim to strengthen this position by enhancing our innovative products and making trading even more accessible and efficient so that every client can confidently build their financial future with us.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Overview – June 25: Why Did the Dollar Fall Again?

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, which had started on Monday. Let us recall that on Monday, everyone expected a "rollercoaster" right at the market open, i.e., during the night. However, the real action came closer to the evening. The first two trading days of the week were packed with events—of various kinds—capable of supporting both the dollar and the euro. So why did the U.S. currency fall out of favor with the market once again? If we were to list all the reasons, one article certainly wouldn't be enough. So, let's start with the most local and obvious ones. As early as Monday, we mentioned that the dollar might benefit from another escalation in the Middle East, this time initiated by the U.S. But just think: can the dollar even hypothetically be considered a "safe haven" if one of the warring parties is the U.S.? The second reason is that Trump launched a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and the next day, missiles were flying back—toward Qatar, Israel, and U.S. military bases. And, notably, Iran hit the American bases. The third reason is that Trump thanked Iran for warning Washington in advance about the upcoming strike. Honestly, the only word that comes to mind here is "farce." Can this even be a war if the participants warn each other before launching attacks? Naturally, the market immediately concluded that this was not a war but a performance. That might be better in some ways—since human casualties were avoided, and that is most important. But at the same time, if the dollar had any hopes of strengthening due to a Middle East escalation, the market realized yesterday that this "escalation" was theatrical and staged. And it gets even more bizarre. On Tuesday morning, Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. The U.S. President was so eager to establish peace somewhere—anywhere—that he declared the war over without waiting for any official statements from Iran or Israel. And just a few hours later, Iranian missiles took to the skies again. Once more, if this weren't about deadly weapons of mass destruction, the whole situation could be considered a comedy. For the rest of Tuesday, Trump posted angry messages every half hour on his own social network, expressing his dissatisfaction not only with Iran but also with Israel. In the afternoon, Trump tried to persuade Israel not to launch retaliatory strikes, and we're left wondering—does the U.S. President believe that Iranian and Israeli leaders check his Twitter feed before initiating missile attacks? Frankly, we don't even know how to respond to this circus anymore. But the market certainly does. Why should it buy the dollar—even without the caveat "if Donald Trump remains president"? America has turned from a country with the strongest economy and military into a laughingstock. And these are just the reasons the dollar fell on Monday and Tuesday. Should we even bother listing why the U.S. currency has fallen for five months?


Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Changes in trading hours on July 3-4, 2025

Dear traders!

We would like to inform you about changes in trading hours with InstaForex on July 3-4, 2025.

July 3:

CFD Stocks - early close at 20:00;

Indices - early close at 20:15.

July 4:

CFD Stocks - closed full day;

Metals - early close at 20:00;

Futures Energy - early close at 20:00;

Futures Agro - closed full day;

Futures Metals - closed full day;

Futures Goods - closed full day;

Indices - early close at 20:00.

Trading hours for other financial instruments remain unchanged. Please adjust your trading decisions for this information.


The company reserves the right to introduce other unspecified restrictions without prior notice.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for July 7, 2025



On the weekly chart, the price has precisely reached the intersection point of the Fibonacci ray and the upper boundary of the price channel. This occurred on the first bar after the 11th Fibonacci time line — a point which, in most cases, marks the beginning of a trend reversal. The divergence between the price and the Marlin oscillator further reinforces this signal.

Statistically, movements of this type tend to span two ranges of the Fibonacci fan, which in this case could bring the price down to the 1.0179 level — the January low. On the daily chart, the price is consolidating and waiting for a catalyst.

On the H4 chart, the price remains close to the balance line and is attempting a natural approach toward the MACD line (1.1744) to break through its support. A firm move below this level would lead to price consolidation in preparation for a breakout under 1.1692.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for July 14, 2025

 

 

 

Friday's candlestick for the EUR/USD pair closed bearish, with the price consolidating below the daily MACD line. The objective for today is to secure a close below the 1.1692 level. To achieve this, the daily candle must close below that level. The Marlin oscillator has not yet entered negative territory, but visually it is expected to do so tomorrow. Therefore, today is expected to be calm.

 

A firm break below 1.1692 opens the path toward the target at 1.1535. A correction is expected from that support level, followed by a move toward the second target at 1.1420. If the price consolidates above Friday's high of 1.1714, it will also move back above the MACD line. This would briefly open an alternative scenario with growth toward the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.1832.

 

On the four-hour chart, Marlin is entering positive territory, but price action remains below the balance indicator line, which empirically suggests sellers still dominate. The pair will likely remain in a sideways trend today with downside pressure ahead of tomorrow's U.S. inflation data.

 

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

 

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Overview – July 17: U.S. Inflation Will Only Accelerate

The EUR/USD currency pair traded more calmly on Wednesday than it had on Tuesday, remaining relatively stable until the evening. There were no major fundamental or macroeconomic events in either the Eurozone or the U.S. throughout the day. We believe that even the U.S. inflation report published on Tuesday can no longer be considered highly significant under current conditions. More precisely, it remains important, but its influence on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is no longer as significant as it once was. The Fed remains firm in its stance: first, it needs to understand how the finalized tariffs will affect key macroeconomic indicators, then it will make a decision on the key interest rate. Over the past three months, Jerome Powell has seemed to do little else besides publicly discuss inflation. The Fed Chair has repeatedly warned that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is bound to rise if import prices increase by 20–30–40%. Especially when it comes to commodities and metals, which cannot be replaced as easily as consumer goods, now that June has arrived, we are indeed witnessing a rise in inflation. The CPI increased from 2.4% to 2.7% in June. This may not seem like a dramatic jump, but let us highlight two important points. First, Trump's tariffs began to influence inflation in June because, prior to that, American businesses had stockpiled goods at old prices for several months ahead and had neither raised prices nor placed new foreign orders. Therefore, the rise in June inflation is just the beginning. Second, on a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.3%, which translates to an annualized rate of 3.6%. Powell and his colleagues suggest that the inflationary shock might be short-lived and that consumer prices may "stabilize" once final tariff rates are set. But what kind of stabilization can we expect when Donald Trump has signed only 3 out of 75 trade agreements, has prepared new tariff hikes for 24 countries starting August 1, and introduced 50% tariffs on pharmaceuticals and copper? This means that average U.S. import tariffs will rise even further from August 1, and even those will not be final. So, if inflation is already acceler

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Recommendations and Trade Breakdown for EUR/USD on July 28: The Ideal, Strong Euro

EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis

On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair once again traded with low volatility but demonstrated nearly perfect technical behavior. There was little news during the day, with the only noteworthy report being on durable goods orders, which gave mixed signals. On one hand, the actual figure was better than the forecast. On the other hand, the number of orders in June dropped by 9.3%, which is quite significant. Thus, this report cannot be considered positive. Traders themselves were unsure how to interpret the data. After its release, the pair became volatile, but it was the rebound from the critical line — not the macroeconomic data — that held key significance for the dollar. From a technical perspective, the local uptrend remains in place. Last week, the price saw a slight downward correction, but forming a proper trend line or channel is still not possible — the second extremum is missing. The price failed to consolidate below the critical line, so we expect a new wave of euro growth on Monday. On the 5-minute timeframe, Friday produced two nearly perfect trading signals. First, the price bounced precisely from the 1.1750–1.1760 zone, then dropped to the Kijun-sen line of the Ichimoku indicator, and rebounded from that line with a small deviation (2 points), eventually returning t

COT Report

The latest COT (Commitment of Traders) report is dated July 22. As shown in the chart above, the net position of non-commercial traders was bullish for a long time. Bears barely took control at the end of 2024, but quickly lost it. Since Trump took office as President of the U.S., the dollar has only declined. While we can't say with 100% certainty that this decline will continue, current global developments suggest this scenario is likely. We still see no fundamental factors supporting the euro, but one strong factor remains weighing on the U.S. dollar. The global downtrend remains intact, but what does it matter where the price has moved over the last 16 years? Once Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may begin to rise — but when will that happen? The position of the red and blue lines in the indicator continues to show a bullish trend. During the last reporting week, long positions held by the "Non-commercial" group increased by 6,200, while shorts increased by 8,900. Therefore, the net position decreased by 1,700 contracts — a negligible change.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

Read more: ifxpr.com/4lYAKrJ

Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for August 4, 2025

The euro's 170-pip rally on Friday represented a 50% correction from the extremes observed between July 24 and August 1. While the technical picture has noticeably shifted, the core medium-term bearish scenario for the European currency remains intact.

We believe the correction is now complete, and the EUR/USD pair will attempt to reach the target support level at 1.1266, with pullbacks expected from intermediate levels. On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above the MACD line, but for this move to be classified as a false breakout, a return below this line must occur.

We believe the correction is now complete, and the EUR/USD pair will attempt to reach the target support level at 1.1266, with pullbacks expected from intermediate levels. On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above the MACD line, but for this move to be classified as a false breakout, a return below this line must occur.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Overview – August 7: Trump Launches a New Round of Trade War Escalation

The EUR/USD currency pair traded with very low volatility for most of Wednesday once again. There are indeed very few macroeconomic events this week, but at the same time, it cannot be said that the news background is absent. We still believe that the events and reports from last week are enough for the dollar to continue declining for about another week. In addition to last week's events, we should also highlight some "fresh news." Over the past few days, Donald Trump has announced the introduction of new tariffs. First, they will concern semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. There is nothing new in this announcement, as last month the U.S. president repeatedly threatened to impose tariffs on these categories of goods. This week, he merely confirmed his intentions, stating that medications should be produced in the United States. And to encourage domestic production, all foreign drugs will be subject to tariffs—starting small but rising to as much as 250% in a year and a half to two years. Second, Trump is already moving into a second or even third round. Initially, he introduced individual tariffs against half the countries in the world. Then sector-specific tariffs followed (on cars, copper, steel, and aluminum, for example). Now, Trump is planning to implement "sanction tariffs." What does that mean? It means that if any country refuses to follow Trump's orders, it will face additional tariffs. For instance, India purchases oil from Russia and is perplexed by Washington's prohibition. The reason is that Trump wants to end the war in Ukraine and believes the financial inflows to the Russian budget from oil and gas exports must be limited. Thus, to end the war, all countries must stop buying Russian energy. To force this, Trump came up with "sanction tariffs" that will apply to all imports from such countries (India, in this case) to the U.S. until they stop buying Russian oil and gas—or until the war in Ukraine ends. And these tariffs will be very high.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD forecast for August 13, 2025

Yesterday, the euro once again attempted to test the balance line resistance. This time, it was supported by external markets — the S&P 500 rose by 1.14% and even set a new all-time high. However, the euro is in no hurry — it has not broken out of its range, as it is approaching Fibonacci time period No. 8 on the daily scale. Moreover, the stock market rally itself is facing increasing risks.

The Marlin oscillator's signal line is moving into positive territory. A slight rise is possible, as is a reversal from the upper boundary of the range. Today's session opened above the balance line, so there is a chance of surpassing yesterday's high. The maximum potential growth is toward the MACD line at 1.1770. At the moment, time remains the key factor.

The updated range is visible on the four-hour chart (grey rectangle). Here, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, making it difficult for the price to replicate yesterday's surge. Overall, the sideways movement continues.


Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on August 21. Analysis of Yesterday's Forex Trades

Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro The test of the 1.1659 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. I did not get any other entry points into the market either. The hawkish tone of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes did not trigger the expected sharp rise in the dollar. Investors are likely convinced that the central bank will cut interest rates in September, despite the lack of clear signals. Everyone is focused on Jerome Powell's speech tomorrow in Jackson Hole, so no significant market changes are likely before then. Contradictory economic signals reinforce this uncertainty. On the one hand, inflation remains high, pushing the Fed toward more decisive action. On the other hand, signs of slowing economic growth are increasingly evident, raising concerns about potential effects on employment. The key factors shaping the dollar's further movement could be upcoming economic reports—especially inflation and labor market data—along with speeches from Fed officials. Today, data will be released on the eurozone consumer confidence index, as well as the services PMI and composite PMI for August. These indicators will help assess the current state of the regional economy and sentiment among businesses and consumers. Weak consumer confidence may reflect household concerns about inflation, interest rates, and job opportunities, which could lead to reduced spending and slower growth. Similarly, declines in the services PMI and the composite PMI could indicate weakening activity in the services sector and a worsening overall business climate. In this unstable environment, investors will carefully analyze these figures to assess the eurozone's growth prospects and potential impact on European Central Bank policy. In particular, worse-than-expected results could increase pressure on the ECB to ease monetary policy, which would negatively affect the euro. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data may support the euro and reinforce expectations that the ECB will stick to a wait-and-see stance on rates.



Buy Scenario Scenario No. 1: Buying the euro today is possible if the price reaches around 1.1653 (green line on the chart), targeting growth toward 1.1687. At 1.1687, I plan to exit the market and sell the euro in the opposite direction, expecting a move of 30–35 points from the entry point. A rise in the euro can only be expected after very strong data. Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to move upward from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the euro today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1639 price level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downside potential and lead to an upward reversal. A rise toward the opposite levels of 1.1653 and 1.1687 can be expected. Sell Scenario Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro after the price reaches 1.1639 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1612, where I plan to exit and immediately buy in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level. Downward pressure on the pair will return in case of weak data. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to move downward from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the euro today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1653 price level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.1639 and 1.1612 can be expected.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD Overview. August 28. What Is Trump Doing? Debunking the Myths

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also traded with a slight decline, which may seem puzzling. However, in the EUR/USD article, we have already attempted to explain why many moves on the currency market cannot be fundamentally or macroeconomically justified. The mistake many analysts and traders make is trying to justify every 50-pip movement with fundamentals, forgetting that not every price change is driven by news. Forex market participants make transactions not only when news or reports are released. The currency market exists to provide access to the currencies needed for trade. Imagine a major bank needs hundreds of millions in euros. It's unlikely they'll wait for perfect fundamentals to buy that much. And they almost certainly won't form such a big position in just 15 minutes. As a result, the euro exchange rate may fall for an extended period, then suddenly soar upward. The rate may rise the entire time the large bank is building its position, while to smaller traders, the movement will seem inexplicable. So remember—not every move on the market can or should be explained. The same applies to explaining any action taken by Donald Trump. Yesterday, it was announced that the US president has decided to raise import tariffs on India to 50%. The reason? India's refusal to halt its purchases of Russian energy. Here, most analysts may repeat the same mistake as with explanations of market movements. Many probably think Trump really wants to end the war in Ukraine, and that India buying Russian oil is in some way funding the war, letting Moscow continue combat actions. From our point of view, that's not the case. Trump surely realizes that hundreds of sanctions against Moscow have not stopped the war, haven't destroyed the Russian economy, and generally haven't achieved much. The global economy can't do without oil, gas, and other energy. So, whether you sanction or not, countries will buy oil and gas regardless. If Russia offers reasonable prices on energy in its region, neighboring countries will buy from Russia. Trump wants the opposite. He doesn't want India to stop buying Russian oil. He wants India to buy US oil! Trump wants to sell as much as possible, to keep dollars flowing into the US Treasury. If you don't want to buy US goods, you'll pay tariffs, filling the Treasury another way. So, as always, it all boils down to money. Remember the deal Trump signed with the EU? Brussels agreed to invest several hundred billion dollars in the US economy and to spend a similar amount on American energy. Trump is a businessman; he wants to sell. That is his whole policy.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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InstaForex – Prime Sponsor Traders Fair Johannesburg 2025!


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InstaForex is pleased to announce its participation in Traders Fair Johannesburg 2025 — one of the most significant financial events in Africa. We are proud to hold the status of Prime Sponsor and invite all traders, investors and partners to our booth M15, where unique opportunities, exclusive bonuses and professional consultations await you.

Why you should not miss this event

Traders Fair Johannesburg 2025 is not just an exhibition, but a global platform for meeting leading experts in the financial world. Traders, brokers, analysts and investors from around the world will gather here to discuss the latest trends, new strategies and innovations shaping the future of financial markets.

The event will take place in the heart of South Africa’s business life — Johannesburg, which will turn into the center of global financial activity for one day. It’s a great networking opportunity, a chance to exchange experience and meet cutting-edge solutions in trading and investment.

What awaits you at the InstaForex booth

– Demonstrations of innovative trading solutions and analytical services

– Personal consultations with professionals in trading and investment

– Meetings with the InstaForex team and discussion of current industry ideas

– A draw for a $100,000 certificate among booth visitors

We have prepared special offers that will be available exclusively to exhibition visitors. It’s your chance to open new horizons in trading and investment together with InstaForex!

Join the global trading community

Traders Fair Johannesburg 2025 is not only an opportunity to explore the latest financial market innovations, but also a chance to expand your professional network. Educational seminars, panel discussions and masterclasses from leading industry experts will be held throughout the day.

Date: 20 September 2025

Venue: Johannesburg, South Africa – Traders Fair
Booth: M15
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InstaForex at Forex Expo Dubai 2025

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InstaForex proudly took part in one of the Middle East’s largest financial events — Forex Expo Dubai 2025 — as a Diamond Sponsor. The expo was held on October 7–8 at the Dubai World Trade Center and brought together thousands of traders, investors, and industry professionals.

Our Booth 81 attracted a wide audience: the InstaForex team — including English-, Arabic-, and Hindi-speaking managers — provided consultations to more than 700 clients. We introduced our new products, such as the x10 bonus, ultra-low spreads on gold and currency pairs, and gave away $1,000 certificates as a token of appreciation to our guests.

Particular attention was drawn to the company representative’s presentation, “Trend forecasts from InstaForex 2025,” which highlighted key market trends and forecasts for the upcoming year.

The highlight of our participation was winning the award for “Lowest Spreads Broker of the Year” — a recognition of our commitment to offering the best trading conditions.

Forex Expo Dubai became a major platform for InstaForex to strengthen its regional presence and expand its partnership network.

Thank you to everyone who visited our booth — together, we’re setting trends in the trading world!

More expos, new products, and meetings with you are yet to come. Stay tuned and trust InstaForex — your guide in the world of financial opportunities!

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