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High Demand for Bitcoin Hit a Record High $1,760

The Bitcoin attained a record high on Tuesday because of an upsurge demand for crypto-assets and the production of new tokens to increase stake for new establishment through blockchain technology which implies the dispensability of a central regulator.

The digital currency rose on the day by 6 percent reaching $1,760.40 from $1,747.89 on the BTC=BTSP BitStamp platform. Currently, it surged to almost 80% percent for the year and a significant expansion of market capitalization up to $52.5 billion, reported by coinmarketcap.com.

However, Federal Reserve of Minneapolis Bank President Neel Kashkari is not convinced of a positive bitcoin probable future, saying that the blockchain technology will progress more in the future compared to the digital currency. Also, considering the shift in the market interest where majority of the bitcoin rallied was influenced because of high demand for the initial coin offerings (ICOs).

India’s Consumer Price Inflation Abates this April

Inflation rate of India narrowed down because of lower food cost for the month of April. However, this would make it tough to ease rates in the near future. Consumer price inflation is anticipated to persist lower than the 4.0 percent medium target of the Reserve bank of India for the past six months.

It is forecasted from a survey of economist that inflation in April will decline to a three-month low of 3.40 percent this month compared to the 3.81 in March. Yet, the central bank raised its inflation rate for the fiscal 2017 to 2018 to attain 4.5 percent for the first half and 5.0 the second half of the year. An economist described the situation that even if the interest rate cut exceeded the 4 percent level in the next few months, the RBI will be cautious and would not cut rates since the current situation is stable already.

Thailand’s Strong First Quarter GDP growth

The export data of Thailand for first quarter moved at its most rapid  “quarterly pace” in the past four years and eases the monetary policy to support low key investment activities. Although it faces uncertainties with capital outflow and global trading protectionism, the U.S. Fed is taking signifying that it is gaining momentum to recovery.

The agency reduced its monetary projection from 3.0 - 4.0 percentage to 3.3 - 3.8 percentage economic advancement forecasts while its export progress has been elevated to 3.6 percent from 2.9 percent. The rise in exports is mainly due to steep costs of commodities more than the volume of trades.

The central bank retained its key percentage interest rate at 1.50 percent since April 2015 and the upcoming policy review is scheduled on May 24 and expected also kept unchanged. Yet, there is a possibility for the Thai central bank to increase its rates by 25 basis points later in the year because of both sturdy growth statistics and probable augmented U.S. rates.

Economic Data of China Indicates Slow Growth

The economy of China further provided below-expected results of its economic indicators as the fixed-asset investment (FAI), manufacturing output and retail sales in the month of April declined.

The output of the industrial sector gained 6.5% in the earlier year, compared with the 7% projection of polling analysts of Bloomberg while 7.1% predicted by Reuters.

While factor output rose by 7.6% during March which is the fastest in two years. Fixed investments expanded by 8.9% in the months of January to April 2017, figures are based on the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, as polls projected 9.1%

The sales of retail boosted by 10.7% in April from the first quarter of the year. According to forecasts of experts, the rise will reach 10.6% which is lower versus the past period of 10.9% development. Whereas, the growth in private investment that accounts for an approximately 60% of the national sum value, dropped to 6.9% and acquired 7.7% in Q1.This indicates that the small and medium-sized private companies will remain to experience difficulty in finances.

The target growth of China is close to 9% allocated for the FAI’s 2017 while there are expectations that the retail sales will surge to 10% generally.

The second largest economy in the world had obtained a 6.9% expansion in the first quarter which is the most powerful since 2015. China had lessened its economic objective to give way to the policymakers in boosting reforms and to control financial risks.

New Fintech Rules will be Imposed by Brazilian Central Bank

Brazil’s central bank is interested in implementing regulations to the FinTech sector to provide support for the industry startups and other firms in engaging and improving the Brazilian nation that is currently suffering from a recession.

As published in the recent report of Reuters, the monetary authority of the country, Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) is planning to put into effect such rules for this year to sustain growth to  FinTech companies and further services available in the Federative Republic of Brazil  

According to Otavio Damaso, the BCB’s Chief of Staff, the advancement of FinTechs and innovative products seems positive for improving the financial system of the country since the economy is experiencing a worst depression.

The economy of Brazil got an 8 percent rate in March 2017 which is lower during December 2014. In the past, the country is known to be one of the fastest growing economies around the globe, then political controversies and mismanagement of funds arise creating jobless 13 million individuals.

During the former years, the traditional financing options caused banks to charge borrowers higher interest rates, this open doors for many fintechs to influence the Latin America’s biggest economy to offer loans at a cheaper price.

U.S Labour Market Declined Despite Positive Economic Outlook

Applications for U.S unemployment benefits had fallen circumstantially during the previous week, while the total of jobless Americans declined to a 28-1/2-year low which could lead to a sudden failure on the labor market slack.

The economic development was supported by the data released on Thursday that showed an abrupt expansion towards the manufacturing activity within the Mid-Atlantic states this month. The report says that the shipments for goods accelerated and more working hours for laborers. Further measure for the economic activities increase again in the month of April.

The positive data favors the expected hike in interest rates for the following month, even if the decision of the Fed Reserve depends on the condition of the financial markets, which recently been shaken by the scandals of US President Donald Trump.

Jobless claims benefits were lessened by 4,000 with a seasonal adjustment of 232,000 within the week that finished on May 13 as it experienced a three-weeks consecutive decline, as mentioned by the Labor Department.

Economists penciled last week that claims will reach 240,000 but it currently obtained less than 300,000 by which the threshold is linked with a stabilized job market for 115  successive weeks. This is the longest period recorded since the year 1970 which historically appeared that the market was smaller.

The employment sector reached full employment with the jobless rate gained a 10-year low to 4.4 percent. The U.S economy was able to produced 211,000 number of jobs in April.

Japan Exports Rallied for 5 Months

Exports from Japan notably increased for five consecutive months indicating a strong offshore demand and increased shipments of semiconductors and steels that boost economic growth. In April, exports climbed up to 7.5 percent compared with the previous year and lower than the median estimate of 7.8 percent yearly growth.

On the other hand, its trade surplus with the U.S. also decreased by 4.2 percent from a year ago while the exports jumped by 2.6 percent and continuously grows in the past three months because of high volume of car and auto parts shipments. An economist predicts that this upsurge will continue including domestic imports but the protectionist trade policies of Donald Trump raises concerns with Japan being an export-reliant country.

Food Stamp Program in Peril from Trump’s Tax Cuts

The Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program or SNAP is currently in peril as Trump’s budget plan could possibly slash over $190 billion from the said food stamp program. These cuts on SNAP will be representing a funding cut of over 29%, since the US government spent over $70 billion on the food stamp program last year. Prior to this particular cut, the Trump administration had recently proclaimed that it will be able to strike a budget balance within a decade without altering the US government’s biggest spending drivers, namely social security and medical assistance. Trump had previously stated that there will be no changes made to these factors during his campaign period.

FOMC Minutes Signal Interest Rate Hike Next Month

Fed officials are now more than ready to raise its short-term interest rates after stating in their meeting last month that increasing its rates are now “more than appropriate”. The central bank also moved to begin cutting back on its Treasury and mortgage securities holdings, which is currently worth $4.5 trillion. The Fed also stated in its minutes that they will be allowing an accumulation of these said securities in  the long run without having to reinvest its proceeds to other assets. The Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled this coming June 13-14 and will be immediately followed by a press conference from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

Trump Proposed 45 Percent Cut in Mexico Aid from U.S. Spending

On Tuesday, the U.S. spending reserved for foreign aid for Mexico and Central America are to be reduced as proposed by the President Donald Trump. The budget was proposed to trim as much as $3.6 trillion government spending in the following ten years for 2018 budget proposal.Although, this may not get a legislative approval as to how it is currently with other departments cuts especially in the State department.

Mexican aid worth $87.66 million will be lessened over 45 percent from the 2016 expenditure when Trump's proposal is approved. The budget cut will be transferred to the Mexican military including counterterrorism funds and other government programs. One of the officials commented that these deals are focused on bolstering border security and fight against corruption that may have hindered transnational criminal organizations. There will be a meeting to discuss the employment and security concerns in Central America in June.

Drop in Oil Prices Discontented Investors in its Low Figure

Oil prices declined by 5 percent following the extension of production cuts by Opec causing other oil producing countries to be dismayed who are expecting a bigger reduction. Consequently, crude prices dropped to the highest percentage drop since early March.

During the last OPEC meeting, they reached an agreement to prolong supply cuts constitute of 1.8 million barrels per day until the first quarter ends next year and investors are anticipating around half a million extra barrels to be contracted. However, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, Khalid Al-Falih said that other ministers find it unnecessary to lessen the output further and nine months is the “optimum” duration.

On the other hand,  U.S. shale producers are motivated to provide more supplies because of the cheap cost of oil at $50 bpd. Although, they have to be careful since it could exceed the target increase and bring down further the price, stated by the Texas shale oil producer president David Arrington.  

Asian Market Weakened as it Traded Sideways

The stock markets of Asia were unsteady on Tuesday since investors hovered in the sideline prior the publication of the raft of economic statistics scheduled this week. While, the Taipei market coupled with Shanghai, Hong Kong are not in operation due to a holiday.

Moreover, the Nikkei 225 of Tokyo declined by 0.5 percent to 19,576.19, seeing the Kospi of South Korea to plunged to 0.6 percent to 2,338.21, S&P/ASX 200  of Australia lower down by 0.1  percent to 5,701.60. Likewise, Singaporean market had a dip along with the Philippines and New Zealand but the Indonesian benchmark surge.

Jingyi Pan, a market strategist at IG based in Singapore, said that the Asian house market is projected to maintain its thin volumes which start in the countries of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan which are all closed in consideration of the market holiday.

The data were to be issued this week would likely offer some hints for the investors about the current state of the international economy. Investors anticipate for the consumer confidence index along with the eurozone business data later this day.

On the energy sector, the benchmark for US crude dropped 4 cents up to $49.76 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract had increased by 90 cents up until $49.80 per barrel yesterday. The Brent crude further decreased by 20 cents till $52.44/barrel in London.

US Budget Concerns Casts Doubt on Fed Plans

The US Federal Reserve is more than ready to raise its interest rates this coming June, but the possibility of the Congress rattling up the markets by slowing down progress on increasing the debt ceiling of the US economy has cast a shadow of doubt on the Fed’s next scheduled rate hike on September. Prior to this development, the Fed has been saying that they are currently planning to implement two more rate hikes before the year ends, but has now reverted to saying that the third rate hike for year might be in for some delays if the market gets shaken by possible disagreements on fiscal policies.

ECB not yet to Withdraw Stimulus Program

The European Central Bank decided to loosen its monetary policy on Thursday but indicated that it further needs some support from the central bank amid increasing growth.

Mario Draghi, ECB president, is very cautious in his announcement regarding the withdrawal stimulus.

During the meeting held on Thursday which is accompanied by 25 members of the council, the bank kept its interest rates and bond-purchase stimulus program steady.

The governing council settled small adjustments towards the 19 emerging countries that utilizes the European currency by stating that interest rates could probably move lower. While Draghi issued another significant change as he described that risk to growth is currently “broadly balanced”, the tweak was announced during the April wherein risk are said to  "tilted to the downside."

Carsten Brzeski, analyst at ING-DiBa, allegorize the bank’s statement to a baby’s first step intended to taper the stimulus effort. The financial institution preserved its bond-buying program at 60 billion euros ($67 billion) each month which will last this year or longer.

Moreover, ECB officials were in a stew for the market’s response to the untimely notice that the stimulus will end as the rates will climb higher, undermining the effects.

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Job Creation in Australia Reached 42,000, Unemployment Rate Slowdown by 5.5% in May

Australia created additional jobs with a total of 42,000 which exceeded the expectations of 10,000 as indicated in the roughly calculated poll led by Reuters, disclosed by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday. However, the number of unemployed for this month accounts to 5.5 percent which came in lesser than predicted 5.7 percent.

The Aussie dollar further gained strength after releasing the current employment data of the Australian economy at exactly 9:30 HK/SIN while the exchange rate against its American counterpart is greater by 0.5 percent.

The employment figures appeared to be volatile but the rate in the past few months showed some development within the labor sector, said by Steven Milch, the chief economist of Suncorp. Mr. Milch also mentioned that the number remained stable for the third consecutive month and much stronger than their anticipated figures.

In case that the trend will continue, it will also increase the wages which could reinforce the reflection of the RBA towards the economy as a “half empty glass”. This shows that the Reserve Bank of Australia is not probable to revise its policy anytime.

The central bank announced that earlier this June the labour market indicators will remain mixed, keeping its benchmark cash rate on hold at a record low of 1.5 percent. The financial institution also noted that the slackening of real income will curtail the growth in household spending.

Sluggish Growth Prediction for Developed Countries

A U.S. central banker forewarned that advanced economies and financial institutions in the United States will face a slower economic growth for long-term unless fiscal officials do something to counter this. Although, this comes surprisingly since the Federal Reserve just increased its interest rates earlier this month and intend to do more rate hikes gradually to prevent overheating of the economy. This also indicates positive growth of the economic outlook.

Federal Reserve president John Williams said that this optimism will only last for short-term and will change over time. With the sluggish growth, this gives a hard time for monetary policymakers to curb inflation and sustain full employment. This leaves the central bank with no choice but to rate hike since low growth trims the demand for investment and further push down the interest rates.  

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Central Bank of Denmark Probable Membership in E.U. Banking Union

The central bank of Denmark has taken into account on a positive note its participation to the European Union's banking union. The government has decided to launch a review according to the central bank on Tuesday.  

This is a significant step from the country as the focus which would be the could lead to a final decision when the Brexit has already been concluded come autumn of 2019. At the same time, this would help the Nordic country in consideration as the financial center.

Emerging Markets and Bonds Selloff Continues

The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen reached a four-month high while both the bonds and the emerging market currencies are under pressure once again on Tuesday. There are looking for higher interest rates in expanding number of major economies.

There are higher expectations as the MSCI world index is steadily progressing as it rose for a third day although it declined after the Europe stock market dropped. This staggered as the bonds yields from euro zone continued its uptrend in March but halted on Monday as the market turned its attention to the monetary tightening of large economies globally.

The Federal Reserve aims to adjust the large collection of bonds to ease the financial crises where speeches were given on Wednesday while the both the ECB and BoE officials are scheduled to talk on Tuesday. They are divided on whether to proceed with a rate hike yet the overnight index swaps market are priced high and 80 percent probability for a second rate hike by the end of the year.

Yellen Assessed US Economy Growth Target

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Thursday that the 3 percent target of the current administration of Trump is “quite challenging” to cope with.

US President Donald Trump pledged during his campaign in 2016 to improve the economic growth by 4 percent, however, the officials trimmed it down to 3 percent and claimed that it might take some time to complete.

Moreover, Yellen mentioned that is  "very disappointing," and gave a forewarning that the potential growth of the American economy is now lowered to 2 percent. The chairwoman was asked if it's still possible for the country to gain its three percent goal in the next five years and she answered,  "I think it would be quite challenging."

She further stated that higher growth rate requires a great increase in productivity growth which is currently at 0.5 percent, hence, an extreme surge is needed to accelerate and at least few points are regarded as significant.

During the second day of her semi-annual testimony, she said to the Senate Banking Committee that the 3 percent expansion would be wonderful and she’d love to witness it.

The incumbent Chair of the Board is scheduled to end her term on February 3, 2018, if President Trump did not reappoint her for another 4-year term.

Yellen also underlined the things that hamper productivity growth which is related to the dilemma of company reports about looking for qualified laborer, emphasizing the urgency to focus on training worker and further education.

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Technological Advancement Impact to Monetary Policies

Development in the Information Technology sector and rising adaptability of the labor market in the past years has unsurprisingly curb inflation which could significantly affect monetary policy according to the ECB Executive board member Yves Mersch on Monday. He mentioned that advancement in logistics allowed the growth of value chains and e-commerce globally. It has improved the transparency of pricing domestically and across countries.

These modifications in labor sector could indicate that inflation occurs at a quicker rate with a lower employment in the past that affects the relationship between employment and wage growth and eventually affect the monetary policy. Hence, Mersch points out how improvement in technology reacts to “shocks”, the transition from the exchange rate movement into inflation and its influence from the local community towards global advancement and rise in prices.

These raises concern on the efficacy of ECB’s policies to bring back its price growth to its target. Hence, actions are planned for long-term financial management to meet the obstacle come along the way. Although, these policies are deemed to be unnecessary when conditions stabilize.

Positive German Business Confidence as Economy Strengthen

German firms are preparing for a bountiful period on the back of a slackening summer season.

Business climate of the Germany boosted for the sixth month in July, claimed by the Ifo Institute. According to the poll, which includes 7,000 companies under the construction, manufacturing and trade sector around Europe’s biggest economy, the index increased to 116.0 which is adjusted from 115.2 last month. This was the highest level recorded for almost 26 years, compared with the  Bloomberg’s median estimate showing a decline to 114.9.

The euro moved higher following the issued data and continued to trade at $1.1660 at 10:24 a.m. Frankfurt time.

Ebullient sentiment shows that the economy of Germany had performed strongly earlier this year and bound to run over until the second half.

The continuous decline in unemployment had supported the domestic demand as the Bundesbank projected that the “lively” demand for exports will lead the manufacturing as a major growth driver.

Clemens Fuest,  Ifo President, said that “Sentiment among German businesses is euphoric”, citing that the German economy will stimulate ahead.

Moreover, the country moved at a fast pace in a year during the Q1 while the International Monetary Fund is confident enough towards the nation’s growth outlook after upgrading its forecast for 2018 in the past months.

The organization further mentioned that the development for 2017 is 1.8 percent and 1.6 percent in 2018, bolstered by the strong domestic demand and stabilized international trade.

The Ifo gauges the present economic situation will gain 125.4 from the adjusted 124.2 and the measures of confidence will expand to 107.3 from 106.8.

The GDP figures for the month of April to June is going to release on August 15.